Citation
Yong, Chee Leong
(1998)
An Overview of the East-Asian Economic Crisis.
[Project Paper Report]
Abstract
The objective of this project is to analyse the possible causes and the effects of
the economic crisis in East-asian region with particular emphasis of the impact
on Malaysia in respect of the RINGGIT and the KUALA LUMPUR STOCK
EXCHANGE; how the crisis affects countries in other regions. The issues of
whether the I MF can solve the prevailing problems in this region and how
Mexican's crisis is different from the East-asian are also discussed. Lastly,
several recommendations are made with a view to strengthen and improve the
economic fundamentals of Malaysia.
The possible causes of the crisis incudes: poor financial and banking system
resulting in substantial non-performing loans, Investors' loss of confidence, less
competitive exports, unproductive investments and over-dependence on the
foreign capital.
Malaysia was hit badly by this crisis. The value of Ringgit fell from 2. 6450 in July
1997 to 4. 1 550 against the US Dollar in July 1998 whilst the Composite Index fell
from 1,0 1 2. 84 in July 1997 to 402.65 in July 1998 . The Gross Domestic Product
( GDP ) growth rate was forecasted to be - 1% to -2% compared with the average
GDP growth rate of 8.8 % for the period between 1988 to 1997.It is evident that IMF cannot provide solution to East-asian countries as countries
who resorted to I MF's bail-out do not seem to recover from their crisis.
East-asian's crisis is by nature different from that of the Mexican's crisis in 1995.
The former is solvency crisis whereas the latter is liquidity crisis.
Malaysian government should strengthen its economic fundamentals by
implementing several measures such as making it compulsory to make use of
local manufactured parts. Agriculture sector should be revived as it can save
the country for RM 9 billion on food. To develop Information Technology,
Education and Tourism sectors to generate foreign exchange for the country.
Regulations should be imposed to prevent sudden outflow of foreign portfoliofunds.
The Banking sectors has to be strengthen and not to allow politicians to
have hands in the Banking industry loans should only be approved based on its
merit only.
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