Citation
Suswanto, Totok
(2005)
A Decision Support System for Rice Cultivation on Acid Sulfate Soils.
Masters thesis, Universiti Putra Malaysia.
Abstract
Acid sulfate soils pose chemical, biological and physical problems for rice
cultivation. The proposed amelioration for the study includes: 1) correct water
management; 2) applying lime at appropriate rate and time; and 3) adequate fertilizer
application. Those procedures were organized into an integrated decision support
system (DSS), which used analytical methods and models. Main component for the
model was production function as a response of those amelioration processes. The
model used that function to simulate yield and in advance step, doing micro
economic analysis by calculating profit in order to find the maximum one.
In delivering production function, glasshouse experiment has been conducted using
soil from acid sulfate soil area in Jelawat Rusa Irrigation Scheme, under Project
Kemasin-Semerak (PERKASA), Kelantan. The result of glasshouse experiment
showed that yield was significantly affected by the combination of lime and fertilizer (P<0.02). Water management and any of its combination did not affect yield. The
highest yield was found on combination of GML at rate 4 t/ha using maximum
fertilizer rate. Ameliorative assessment of lime and fertilizer have improved yield
shown by increased soil quality and a better plant performance. Liming has increased
soil pH, exchangeable Ca and exchangeable Mg, and these have decreased toxicity
caused by of Al and Fe. Liming and water management has also improved rice yield
by increasing grain weight and decreasing empty spikelet number.
Field experiments, which include experimental plot and demonstration plot, have
been conducted in that area for 2 seasons with the purpose of validating glasshouse
experiment. Statistical analysis showed that yield of plot experiment on the first
season was not significantly different (P>0.12). It was primarily because the first
season of field experiment was disturbed by flood due to high rainfall and poor
drainage system at the location. It may be also because lime is still not stably
interacted with the soils to increase soil pH. Crop cutting test (CCT) in the second
season of the field experiment showed a significant effect of lime treatment on the
yield (P<0.07). The highest yield of 7.52 t/ha was found on treatment 6 using
application of GML at 4 t/ha in combination with organic-based fertilizer (JITU).
Treatment 5 using application of GML at 8 t/ha resulted on yield of 7.22 t/ha, which
was not different from treatment 6 and this become the second highest value. Using
field experiment, field adjusting factor (FAF) has been developed. It showed
percentage of achieved yield on field trial from the potential yield (glasshouse
experiment). The value of FAF was 0.40, which means only 40% of potential yield
will be gained on the field. The 60% loss may be because of technical problems,inefficient harvester machines, incorrect fertilizer applications, pest and disease
damages.
Response curve as production function was formed using TableCurve 3D v4.0. From
surface fitting process, an equation has been found (P<0.01). It consists of 4
parameters which were also significant at the same α of 5.00%. The value of r2 of the
equation was 0.71, while the curve on initial data and the equation is quite similar.
A model, RiCASS, used predicted yield from the equation to calculate the cost of
inputs both fixed and variable, and to calculate the profit. It ran simulation under
various inputs to find the optimum level that result in maximum profit under 4
different scenarios. Simulation showed that for the first general scenario, maximum
profit margin was found to be $ 2,847/ha from predicted yield at 6.15 t/ha. It used
lime at the rate of 6.50 t/ha and fertilizer index of 10. The second scenario in which
total cost was limited to RM 1,500, maximum profit was found to be RM 2,024.
Based on farmer’s cost, the maximum profit was found to be RM 3,624, while under
limitation of cost below RM 1,000, the profit was found at RM 3,263.
Validation carried out to evaluate the equation which consisted of paired comparison
t-test and mean estimation error. Result showed that the equation was able to
represent actual yield shown by insignificant difference with field experiment yield
(average P>0.20) and small estimation error (2%).
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