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Do social factors contribute to Sovereign (Country) default risk premium?


Citation

Ahmed, Zeshan and Ali, Rosalan and Johari, Jalila (2024) Do social factors contribute to Sovereign (Country) default risk premium? Pakistan Journal of Life and Social Sciences (PJLSS), 22 (2). pp. 14675-14699. ISSN 1727-4915; eISSN: 2221-7630

Abstract

More and more research has indicated the importance of incorporating ESG factors into key financial management decisions. Social factors in particular are understood to be an indication of overall strength of national wellbeing and hence credit resilience. Therefore, with this paper, we examined initially the role of specific macroeconomic factors into pricing the sovereign credit default swaps (S-CDS). We then included into our model certain factors that collectively indicate a country’s overall social performance. Subsequently, we explored for any variation in findings by segregating countries across various income levels and regional classifications. With this paper, we intend to guide national governments on how they can benefit from lower borrowing costs by simply improving their social indicators. Our findings confirm that some, not all, social factors do play a role in sending signals to financial markets to price the credit default spreads for sovereign borrowers. Hence, national governments and policy makers can prioritize improving their social indicators given their respective individualities.


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Additional Metadata

Item Type: Article
Divisions: Putra Business School
DOI Number: https://doi.org/10.57239/pjlss-2024-22.2.001056
Publisher: Elite Scientific Forum
Keywords: Sovereign default risk country risk; Credit risk; Social risk; Probability of Default (PD); ESG; Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads
Depositing User: Ms. Nuraida Ibrahim
Date Deposited: 11 Jun 2025 07:14
Last Modified: 11 Jun 2025 07:14
Altmetrics: http://www.altmetric.com/details.php?domain=psasir.upm.edu.my&doi=10.57239/pjlss-2024-22.2.001056
URI: http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/117751
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