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The asymmetric effect of oil price fluctuation on non-performing loans in Kazakhstan: evidence from the ricardian curse of the resource boom


Citation

Chin, Lee and Saydaliev, Hayot Berk and Kadyrov, Shirali (2022) The asymmetric effect of oil price fluctuation on non-performing loans in Kazakhstan: evidence from the ricardian curse of the resource boom. Journal of East-West Business, 29 (2). pp. 114-137. ISSN 1066-9868; ESSN:1528-6959

Abstract

This paper investigates the asymmetric impact of oil price fluctuations on non-performing loans (NPLs) between 2009-Q1 and 2020-Q1 for 28 banks in Kazakhstan. Dynamic panel threshold analysis revealed an initial increase of oil prices, improving creditworthiness, thereby reducing NPLs; however, after cross a certain threshold, the relationship was shown to become the opposite. This finding is in line with the Ricardian curse and resource windfall. The results suggest that optimal borrowings and lending should be actively monitored to mitigate potential liquidity problems of banks and consequently NPLs. The practical implications and policy recommendation of which are important to policy makers.


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Additional Metadata

Item Type: Article
Divisions: School of Business and Economics
DOI Number: https://doi.org/10.1080/10669868.2022.2141940
Publisher: Taylor and Francis
Keywords: Credit worthiness; Dynamic panel threshold model; Non-performing loans; Oil price
Depositing User: Ms. Nuraida Ibrahim
Date Deposited: 26 May 2023 07:59
Last Modified: 26 May 2023 07:59
Altmetrics: http://www.altmetric.com/details.php?domain=psasir.upm.edu.my&doi=10.1080/10669868.2022.2141940
URI: http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/103472
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