Value-added Information in Term Structure: The case of Malaysian Government Securities.

Abstract

This study empirically examines the impact of value-added information in the risk premium on the predictability of longer maturity term structure about future short-term rates in Malaysian fixed income securities market. Regardless of the absence of a time-varying risk premium in the interest rate, the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) results suggest that there is statistical evidence to support that the longer-term spread between long-term and short-term rates does have some significant power in predicting the changes in expected future shortterm rate. This implies the stability of the short-term interest rates in Malaysia.